Instead of a more vague fleet average emissions strategy that accepts a variety of powertrains in the long run, Canada went all-in with a national EV mandate that will require 100 percent of new vehicles sold in 2035 to produce zero tailpipe emissions, otherwise automakers could face legal action. Unfortunately, strong mandates like that need equally strong incentives to be feasible, and it turns out that Quebec might’ve bought so many EVs that Canada’s federal electric vehicle rebate program ran out of money early.
In 2024, the province of Quebec announced it was slashing the maximum rebate available under its EV subsidization program from $7,000 to $4,000 when 2025 rolled around. That was a good reason to hurry up with an EV purchase, but an even better one appeared in December.
During the twelfth month of 2024, CBC News reported that the province of Quebec announced it would pause its EV rebate program on Feb. 1, 2025 because it had been a bit too successful. “Roulez vert,” as they call it, is about to run out of money, and it can’t be topped up until a new provincial budget rolls out in April. Despite the pause in funding, it’s worth noting that the program is not dead yet. As Quebec Environment Minister Benoit Charette told CBC News:
It’s very, very costly. The demand is very high, so we exceeded our budget. So we simply suspend the program for only two months. It’s not the end of Roulez vert.
Still, a gap in funding combined with decreased incentives seems like encouragement to make haste. As a bonus, Quebecers who bought an eligible electric vehicle in 2024 didn’t just get $7,000 back from their provincial government, they also got $5,000 back from the Canadian federal government, just as any qualifying EV buyer in Canada would on an electric car with a base MSRP under $55,000 CAD or an electric utility vehicle, minivan, or wagon with a base MSRP under $60,000. Indeed, from April 1, 2023 through November 2024, Quebec registrations made up 56 percent of federal EV credits, however it turned out that the federal program also suffers from some of the same weaknesses as Quebec’s provincial program.
On Monday, the Canadian government announced that it, too, had run out of money allocated for electric vehicle rebates. If you go on the official government webpage for Canadian federal EV rebates right now, you’ll see this message: “The Incentives for Zero-Emission Vehicles (iZEV) Program funds have been fully committed. Consequently, the iZEV Program has now officially paused.” So, if you’re Canadian and wanted to get that sweet EV rebate, it looks like you might be waiting a while.
How long is a while, though? Well, theoretically, the program can be topped up in April when federal budget time rolls around. However, theory doesn’t always translate to practice. In the 2022 budget, the federal government allocated $1.7 billion Canadian towards EV rebates. In the 2023 to 2024 fiscal year alone, car buyers received $806 million in EV rebates, while EV buyers who signed on the dotted line from Apr. 1 2024 through November got nearly $736 million in rebates. Going from an average of $67.2 million per month to $92 million per month in one fiscal year is pretty rapid growth, and in times when people are worried about new potential economic threats, Canada’s EV rebate program might simply prove too unsustainable to continue.
At the same time, Canada’s looking ripe for a federal election in Spring, and who knows if whichever party wins will re-up the rebates or can them altogether? Electric vehicles have, unfortunately, become all-or-nothing political pawns, which is ridiculous because it didn’t need to end up like this. It would also put manufacturers in a tough spot, since they’ve spent billions of dollars building EV-intensive long-term plans. Removing incentives would put a wrench in those plans, as David Adams, President and CEO of the Global Automakers of Canada industry alliance said in a statement.
While incentives are not required forever, they do need to remain in place until at least price parity has largely been achieved, otherwise the largest barrier to EV adoption – price, will continue to hinder widespread adoption and put the government’s ZEV mandate targets increasingly at risk.
For now, I have to hand it to Quebec. Out of all provinces, it did the most with making EV adoption more affordable, and it rode that train until it reached a crisis point. A whole lot of people who might not otherwise have the borrowing power to afford a new EV despite running costs washing out were able to afford green family transportation, and that’s a good thing. Plus, since many of the formerly eligible EVs are just normal cars, it’s not like people were trading in their enthusiast cars for them in droves. Would anyone miss a 2007 Chevrolet Equinox?
(Photo credits: Hyundai, Kia, Ford)
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Eh… I mean, it’s not like it’s real money.
An unmentioned consequence of the stacking provincial + federal rebates in Quebec (and BC) is that inventory of EVs in all the other provinces is terrible. Quebec has ~23% of the population of Canada and made up 54% of all EV registrations.
As for the continuation/re-funding of the federal rebate after an election in May 2025? Don’t hold your breath. Polls say we’re 99% gonna get a Conservative Party of Canada government, and that kind of program is categorically not their jam.
Imagine that: the government offers an incentive and people exploit it to the max.
I think that is on page one of Every Economics Text Ever.
(OK, maybe on page 378, regarding government intrusion on economies.)
Lol
How is using the incentive “exploiting” it? They set it up to encourage people to use it. And people used it. That’s the definition of a successful program.
Oh, I didn’t mean it in the negative connotation.
I meant it this way, the first one in the dictionary:
It’s a bit sad that the rural people who would benefit most from cheap to operate EV’s are some of the most virulent anti-EV folks. Sure, keep paying 50 cents more per gallon of gas than folks in the suburbs going to Costco. Ignore the giant lawn that could host solar panels to essentially prepay electricity costs. And keep complaining about how expensive gas is when the solution is right there. Rant over.
And the chances of living in something like an apartment in rural areas is much lower, so charging at home should be easy. It can (not always) also be easier to road trip, since driving from a rural location to a more city type area and finding charging to return home is usually far easier than the opposite.
Excuse me very much, but we procure our composted dinosaur fluid measured in litres. Love, Canada. Sorry. PS good luck next week.
I done forgot who wrote the article. D’oh!
Thanks, and good luck to your country dealing with the chaos lover my country installed as leader.
I get so tired of corporate/government speak like this:
Can’t they just say, we ran out of money, no rebates available, comic panel of a guy with empty pockets? I’m no english delinquent but this gets annoying.
You have to remeber that all acronyms need to be English/French compatible or the Language Bureau will throw a hissy fit (in reality French compatible only is fine)
Any federal incentive will disappear this year, unless maybe for coal or whale oil powered cars. Quebec has relative cheap electricity and expensive gas- as long as the infrastructure for charging is there they should keep going
I’m at a point where I think Subsidies in general need to be ended (specifically in the US).
No EV Subsidies, no gas subsidies, no housing tax credits, no agriculture subsidies. Let everyone complaining about “hand outs” really feel what its like to lift themselves up by their boot straps.
/s, that would only hurt the most vulnerable people in our society. I do believe in agriculture subsidies for human consumable produce. Nothing for beef supply chain though. Then the taxes saved could go to infrastructure building and equitable transportation, food, housing.
I agree, especially if all externalities are included in prices, but as you point out there would need to be help for basic needs for the bottom end of society. I’m sure that even the upper end of society would go into full on riot mode as well if people had to pay the full cost of everything after lifetimes of being used to passing on certain costs to others.
No shade intended, but couldn’t this just as easily be “California” and “The US”? (prior to the renewal/revitalization of the rebate program, that is)