The future of combustion engine phase-out starts to look shakier, Ford goes retro with a new trim of F-150, India is set to launch new car safety ratings. All this and more on today’s issue of The Morning Dump.
Welcome to The Morning Dump, bite-sized stories corralled into a single article for your morning perusal. If your morning coffee’s working a little too well, pull up a throne and have a gander at the best of the rest of yesterday.
More Countries Get Cold Feet On Combustion Engine Phase-Out
As proposals for phasing out combustion engines draw near, countries around the world are feeling reluctant. Let’s start with the situation in the European Union. Germany has disagreed with the proposed ban, and if Germany’s defiant, then there’s a good chance more countries will start to get bold. Unsurprisingly, Reuters reports that five more European nations have banded together to delay the proposed 2035 combustion engine phase-out for both light and heavy vehicles. Italy, Portugal, Slovakia, Bulgaria, and Romania are all pushing for a 90 percent reduction in CO2 from cars by 2035, with full reduction kicking in come 2040. For light commercial vehicles, an 80 percent cut in CO2 emissions is proposed for 2035.
According to Reuters, an unnamed Bulgarian official cited social and economic factors like “the significant differences” in purchasing power between European countries as key rationale for this pushback. Final legislation for a ban on new combustion engines is expected this month, although even that goal isn’t looking so firm right now.
On the G7 side of things, Reuters reports that Japan is pushing to remove an interim EV target from the upcoming G7 agenda. Instead of a firm target of a “collective goal of at least 50% zero-emissions vehicles by 2030,” Japan’s going a touch vague by proposing “significantly increasing the share, sale and uptake of zero-emission light duty vehicles recognizing the range of pathways that members are adopting to approach these goals.”
While a hard reduction in CO2 emissions is a noble goal, it’s going to require a lot of work to cut out fossil fuels. Honestly, I’m not even sure if that’s possible in our society. Generations have grown up enthralled with the joy of internal combustion, and while EVs make phenomenal dailies, it’s hard to replace the theater of dinosaur-powered explosions in weekend toys. While it would be nice to leave consumers to vote with their wallets, we’ll really have to see where the chips fall.
Ford Goes Two-Tone To Celebrate An Anniversary
The 2023 model year is a big one for Ford as its F-Series line of pickup trucks celebrates 75 years on the market. Honestly, it’s hard to think of a nameplate that’s been cranking along continuously for that long, so it feels like something special is in order to celebrate such a milestone. Ford thinks it has just the ticket by taking the mainline F-150 XLT and throwing things back to the ‘70s and ‘80s.
No, the 351 Windsor V8 isn’t back, but a set of old-school two-tone paint schemes are, as are some seriously retro seat inserts. Let’s start with paint. Race Red and Antimatter Blue get Carbonized Gray as a contrast color, while Atlas Blue, Avalance, and Area 51 get set against Agate Black. Those dark accent colors make an appearance on the roof, pillars, bumpers, and lower bodysides. Moving to the interior, Heritage Edition trucks get special striped-and-pleated seat inserts, unique embossing on the console lid, a ‘75 Years’ logo in the windshield, and a unique infotainment screen startup animation. Pricing for the 2023 F-150 Heritage Edition won’t be announced until July, but I’d be surprised if it cost an arm, leg, and firstborn. Kudos to Ford for jazzing up the mainstream XLT trim level rather than going for a higher-margin trim.
India Introduces Crash Test Rating Program
I don’t think it’s controversial to say that some sort of new car safety standards are a good idea. After all, we’re now far less likely to get thrown through windshields, crushed under flimsy roofs, and squashed in side impacts than our grandparents were. India’s road transport ministry has been watching safety programs in other countries, and it seems to have been taking notes.
Starting in April 2023, India will be rolling out Bharat NCAP, a star-based safety rating system for new cars with a capacity of eight or fewer passengers and a weight of under 3.5 tonnes (7,716 pounds). Honestly, it seems like a wise move for consumer safety. According to Reuters, the new tests will assess adult and child occupant protection, along with various active safety features. Autocar India reports that adult and child safety ratings will likely be amalgamated, a bit of a departure from most other crash testing protocols around the world. In addition, Reuters reports than India’s thinking of mandating six airbags, up from the current standard of two. Yeah, that sounds like a pretty good idea. According to The Times of India, there were 130,000 fatalities on Indian roads in 2020, so a little more consumer safety could go a long way towards saving lives. While it will take ages for all the Maruti Suzuki 800s to return to the earth, implementing new crash test ratings prevents the can from being kicked further down the road.
Genesis Pushes Back Electric G80 Launch
Truth be told, the Genesis Electrified G80 looks just about perfect for anyone who likes the concept of the Mercedes-Benz EQE but finds it absolutely hideous. What can I say? The electric G80 is seriously handsome, packs an estimate 282-mile range, and runs on an 800-volt architecture for properly fast 350 kW DC fast charging. There’s just one problem – it’s been hit with industry delays.
Yes, as much as we’d like to see consumers get their hands on the Electrified G80, it looks like they’re going to have to wait. Automotive News reports that this handsome sedan won’t launch until late summer or early fall. While that isn’t a massive delay by any means, it’s still a bit annoying for anyone who’s been waiting on an Electrified G80. For those who are just now aware of this lovely luxury sedan and want to get their order in, don’t worry as there’s still time. Honestly, I really want to get my hands on one of these for a week of testing. It seems to be pushing new levels of normalcy in the EV sector, which seems genuinely fascinating. Of course, 365 horsepower and 516 lb.-ft. of torque certainly don’t hurt either.
The Flush
Whelp, time to drop the lid on this edition of The Morning Dump. Happy Monday, everyone. It’s the start of a brand new week. There’s been some discussion in our corporate AIM private chat room this morning about Canada’s 15-year import rule, which begs a good question. What car made between 1997 and 2007 and never sold in America would you bring in if it were legal? I won’t lie, I still want a bright orange Mk2 Ford Focus ST, although a Citroën C6 sounds equally fabulous. What’s your hypothetical pick?
Lead photo credit: Stellantis
Flush: The 2000-2018 Suzuki Jimny Wide (aka Jimny Sierra) of course! Practically the same car as the kei-car of the era, but with a bigger engine (1.3L making 84hp) instead of the anemic kei-spec engine (658cc & 54hp). Also has some sweet fender flares (hence the “Wide”).
https://www.autoexpert.jp/japan-used/suzuki-jimny-wide-2005-31471.html
Righteous indignation looks good on you. Do more of that.
You would love that Citroën C6!
In fifteen years time you’ll only be able to buy a car that’s twice as expensive and half as convenient to operate. It’s the Soylent Green option. What’s the problem, you big babies? I know that death, taxes, and electric cars are a certainty. Don’t ask me to die soon. Don’t tax me to oblivion. Don’t make me buy an electric car until it’s affordable and convenient.
At the current rate, that’s pretty unlikely to be an issue. Electrics are already approaching parity in some cases (Ioniq 5, Bolt). Compare that to the options 13 years ago (basically just one overpriced toy). I suspect by 2030 ICE cars won’t be competitive in a lot of segments.
That Fiat 500E at the top looks like something from Torch’s Dall-E post.
Hey, I just got the Dalí joke.
I don’t have much to add but to say this has been a well-informed, respectful conversation. Are we sure it’s still 2022?
This community is pretty respectful. If you want to see people throwing crap at each other there’s another site perfect for that.
I’ve imported a 206 cc with the 2.0 engine in Montreal, but you fil the car isn’t made for north America’s streets :
https://www.instagram.com/p/BlH7Tjuh2Kj/?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y=
And also sold a Berlingo in Toronto with the 1.6, I wonder if the owner is happy with it ? It was only 38000km
Toyota Hilux
This rant is so spot on. Here is a thought: let’s all put on our big boy/girl pants and figure out what to do with spent fuel rods. For chysakes, France gets 70% of its’ electricity from nuclear, and of that 10% is from recycled fuel rods. France! But NIMBY. Well dork brains pretty soon your backyard is going to be a dust bowl from lack of water and climate change. Also Finland just figured out how to store them. So besides Chernobyl, (cue appropriate music for shit Russian engineering and shoddy materials) and of course Fujiyama, (Hey let’s build an NPP in an area of likely earthquakes and tsunamis) we know they work pretty damn well. Especially when stacked against coal, natural gas, and oil.
Currently the only folks able to be electric car ‘green’ are Tesla bots, (OMG is there an uglier car than the 3, well maybe an old Pontiac Aztec) and folks with more money than most of us. I mean really: over $100K for some of this shit? And then we can discuss our infrastructure and how we generate the power to charge all these and of course the: where will we find a place to charge all these. Australian outback LOL, middle of BF Montana? Not bloody likely.
OK I’m all over the place here, but to sum up: We have technologies available, but no will to produce it to scale, the new shiny object is electric cars, but the cost to get one is crazy, the charging infrastructure doesn’t exist and if you live in the cold the ‘mileage’ is shit. Hybrids are genius, and with some serious engineering effort (like the space program), I’m confident we humans could figure out how to make ICE even cleaner. Conclusion: my crystal ball says we haven’t explored all possible solutions.
Very well said, thanks for taking the time to write it up.
This is where, if I knew how in this comment system, I would post the GHG emissions pie chart from Our World in Data and provide everyone’s daily reminder that all personal transportation on the planet put together accounts for less than half of the “Road Transport” category that makes up less than half of the ~30% of GHGs produced by the transportation sector. Roughly 6% total. Making all the cars magically electric tomorrow without any of the associated up-front carbon costs would save maybe half of that 6%, based on the current makeup of the electrical grid. Things that need to move are literally the LAST thing we should be expending our resources on decarbonizing, but we’re going to drive our BEVs directly to our appointment with hell.
I’m glad there’s at least one other person in the world who’s not falling for the E-truck BS.
If trucks are to improve it’ll definitely be with an energy dense fuel.
That 6% figure is after taking the heavy truck transport out of the equation, and really is just the light duty passenger vehicles (including half-ton pickups, in this case). There’s an article on Vox, citing a very detailed paper from Columbia University’s Center on Global Energy Policy that I pull those numbers from. The article mostly focuses on how much work there is to be done to address the remaining 94%, and how we’re not even trying – it does not dwell long on the subject of transportation other than to point out that just because it’s in the public eye, does not mean it should be.
Making the power generation sector carbon-free and then just electrifying the cars that are easy (read: economical) to electrify is a faster, easier, FAR more effective way to drop the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere. The benefit of the BEVs would be swallowed by the massively larger benefit of clean electricity.
https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/2019/10/10/20904213/climate-change-steel-cement-industrial-heat-hydrogen-ccs
https://www.energypolicy.columbia.edu/research/report/low-carbon-heat-solutions-heavy-industry-sources-options-and-costs-today
Your points on electric trucking are valid, but the same principle from the cars applies to the trucks: you don’t have to change them all and don’t have to ban the old system to get a benefit from introducing a new option. I’ve seen the prototypes myself, and they work quite well… just not for long haul duty and not for the heaviest loads. There are plenty of regional & local trucks and plenty of loads limited by bulk, rather than size, and the benefit to air quality in the populated places they operate should justify the push alone. The deleted/gliders are a huge problem that no one is addressing because Joe Public doesn’t understand the problem as a political football.
Just remember, “never” is a very, very long time.
Volvo today announced they started delivery of their new electric VNR truck built just up the road from me. Press releases claim 275 mile range. With that range, my question is, when do they charge it? Loading bays at distribution centers are, understandably, built to get as many trucks backed in as possible: the 2 I’ve done work at do NOT have the room to put chargers in between the rigs (and I’ve seen a couple minor incidents in the last year in existing space due to numbers of new drivers!). So, make delivery, then pull elsewhere & charge? Time is money-and these already cost twice an ICE according to article I heard this morning.
I am personally a bit invested: we do work at their plant, and my new sil did some design work on these before he left them, but I, like you, don’t see 1000 mile range anytime soon
Re: cars sold between 1997 and 2007, AutoTrader.ca has a lovely Renault Avantime for sale in Quebec. A two-tone hardtop two door luxury minivan with a six speed manual and a panoramic roof? Mais oui!
I like this response…I think the same way, yet unable to put it down so eloquently…I say alot of bad words in place of scientific shit. Anyways….I hear all about this phasing out ice engines….what about 3rd world countries? They don’t have the infastructor or the money to have maybe a handful in the whole country. I mean absolutely WTF?!… Is there an EV that can drive into the interior of Siberia or The Australian outback? What then? And you hit it on the head…what about these fancy cunts flying in planes all alone and shit? Or floating in their orgy boats? But my ass has to deal with a fucking battery gocart? Naw son, that isn’t happening.
The exceedingly small part of me that hasn’t been poisoned by cynicism hopes these ban reconsiderations are going to build in some much-needed nuance. I’m super gung-ho on phasing out any and all fossil fuels, but to rootwyrm’s point above, Joe Bulgarian and weekend sport car drivers aren’t really the main issue here.
Would the world be better off if families weren’t flying to Disney twice a year or driving sedans instead of equivalent crossovers? Yeah probably, but it’s hard to begrudge normal people what little escapes the modern world affords when you’ve got Bill Gates and friends flying around the world to tell each other that brown people having kids is actually our problem.
While I’m not against flying…I’d rather drive even if it’s 2000 miles away…why? Because there’s cool shit to stop and look at along the way.
“…made between 1997 and 2007…”
Well, nuts. Tata Nano production didn’t start until 2008.
I like small and weird (I drive a kei car) but the Nano is a bridge too far for me. When even Indian buyers reject a car as being primitive and too small, count me out. Example: In India, the Geo Metro, in its Maruti 1000 incarnation, was considered a luxury car and manufacturing it was lambasted as a project “by the elite for the elite.”
I’m approaching this from the opposite direction, as my view is that even voitures sans permis have gotten too large and too fancy over the course of the last thirty years or so. By that metric the Nano itself is admittedly too big and too luxurious but I’m prepared to overlook those flaws for the sake of its historic significance and the undeniable charm of its utter failure in the marketplace.
15 year import rule?
2007 HSV Maloo R8
“India Introduces Crash Test Rating Program”
That’s great! And how will that NOT negatively impact the poor castes? Banning them from access to transportation is not going to help them.
Ford’s announcement that they won’t allow people to renew or buy back electric vehicles from lease is just one indication that cars are going to have mandatory obsolescence just like computers and phones unless the government tells companies they need to support their products longer. At what point will we be ‘sold’ cars on the subscription model?
I’m not paranoid, just reading the room.
I would love to see Autopian do an overview of the key hurdles with EVs. What I see are:
Charging Infrastructure
EV Lease traps
“Cars as a software service”
Overall power grid capability.
Don’t forget affordability. They have always been a class-related purchase. Those EV credits weren’t saving the middle class any money. (Depending upon what your cutoff is for ‘middle class’.)
And battery tech with raw material supply, long term viability, fire risk, and new horizon storage that could make these cheaper.
Although I am asking for maybe a whole different website worth of information
Turns out generating electricity without Russian gas is not as budget friendly as hoped.
Japan can barely make enough power now, much less when you start plugging cars into the grid.
Start with the infrastructure and the cars will follow. Nuclear, anyone?
Japan’s attitude toward nuclear soured a bit about a decade back after a certain incident, trouble was, they closed almost every plant in the country immediately and simultaneously without any plan to replace the capacity. You can’t conserve your way out of suddenly losing ca 1/3 of your generating capacity
They’ve brought a few back online, but kind of a drop in the bucket
They just opened a new plant in Finland (first scheduled to open in 2009 lol). My electricity bill just went up 25% so I hope that’ll bring it down.
EV technology isn’t quite mature yet, the reason for the delays.
I like the smart forfour more than I should. The first-gen A-class is cool too.
For a fun cute lil sporty kei car, Daihatsu Copen or the Suzuki Cappuccino.
I also like the BMW Compact E46. We got the E36 but not the E46 version.
I have a feeling that whatever scientists and economists the governments consulted to get the 2035 date were just telling the politicians what they wanted to hear instead of what is possible.
Good points, but I don’t think your parallels are quite right.
There’s a long history of banning things because they’re unsafe (either to other people or the environment) and because, critically, there is no robust way to put a price on that potential for harm. That’s why modern AC systems use R134a instead of R12 and all your gas is unleaded. If you think of an electrified drivetrain as the endgame of emissions control equipment, the list of precedents obviously explodes, but I’m not quite ready to go down that slippery slope.
I live in the American southwest, which has spent the last decade providing a nice case study for the consequences of not just global warming but air pollution in general. I can’t see the Rockies on summer weekdays because of smog. There are routine stretches of summer where the outdoors are literally unlivable due to wildfire smoke.
I don’t quite know how to price all that into the cost of a Chevy Tahoe. Neither do legislators. But we know that if the emissions status quo doesn’t drastically change, it’ll be livelihoods that drastically change (for the worse) instead.
Dammit, this was supposed to be a reply to V10mous, but *gestures at ramshackle comment system here*
Count me in Thomas’s corner: I want a Fiesta ST as well, and never will buy, as a used ST, based on examples I’ve seen, is about as chancy as buying a used Kleenex. Alternately, wouldn’t mind dipping deeper into the past and scoring either an Autozam AZ-1 or a Mitsubishi Dangan ZZ4.
Interestingly, I note others ‘fessing up to their faves are all opting for ICE cars. Does no one want, say, a Lectric Leopard?
Maybe we should be friends then. I have a Fiesta ST I’ve been thinking of selling (though with gas now it would be hard to go back to driving the truck). Mine actually is clean and untouched. I knew if I kept my boy-racermobile clean it would be a lot easier to sell later on. You’d think others would have done the same…
I want a Lectric Leopard but it meets neither the “made between 1997 and 2007” and “never sold in America” parts of the question. In fact, I’m not aware of them having been sold anywhere except in the US.
I want a Lectric Leopard
I wish I had known that several months ago when I saw one languishing for many weeks on my local CL.
I’m looking for one that’s in reasonably good condition and, importantly, is unmodified. I’ve seen a few for sale that are described as having received an “updated” motor/controller/charger/battery system, typically followed by the assertion that “it won’t take much to get it working right.” No, thank you. Not only do I consider the original system to be of greater inherent interest but I really don’t want to be saddled with the results of someone’s speculative efforts at identifying and installing “improvements.”
Renault Megane R26. There is no better mid-aughts hot hatch; I will not be accepting alternate takes. Thank you.
I’d probably go for something practical-ish like a Ford Puma coupe. It looks a lot like our Escort ZX2 did, and probably drives like one too, but that’s not a bad thing, and I’d know the difference.
1997 Seat Arosa. No reason.
(checks calculator) You can already bring that
Well, waiting a few months shouldn’t be a problem, but Wikipedia says Arosa production started in February 1997.
I bought a car with a November 1996 build date last August. We skipped one ship so that it wouldn’t get here to soon and it arrived in mid-December. It doesn’t have a DOM label, but build month data is available for most Japanese cars – not sure how the broker went about proving it, though.
I had a 1997 Arosa. It was good.
I bought it for £400, used it for £4000 of expensed business mileage and sold it twice (the first guy paid for it and never collected it).
I even dug out photos of it but we can’t upload them yet. Bah.
Had one as city driver, a red metallic 1.4 from 1998 I believe and a great soundsystem CD player for 10 CD’s. Lowered with 1.5 cm and some wider tyres/tires. Sold it after 2 years for the same as I bought it. Yep, beautiful red ain’t ugly.
By the way, most parts had prints on them showing the VW logo and “Made in Wolfsburg”. They were almost 100% VW Lupo’s. Remember that Lupo 3.0L?
I would like to get my hands on one of those Renault Clio Sport V6 with the engine in the back please. 🙂
https://www.pistonheads.com/buy/listing/12587065
Pleased to help, there are dozens of them out there.
The contradiction I’ve never understood is:
If EVs are superior to combustion engined vehicles, why is a mandate necessary? Horses were never banned; consumers decided for themselves that cars were better and horses went away. The same goes for computers taking over for typewriters, email replacing faxes, cell phones replacing land lines, etc.
If EVs are not superior, then why do democratically elected governments think they will get away with forcing everyone into an inferior alternative? Cigarettes, alcohol, junk food, assault rifles, etc all have negative externalities associated with their purchase, but they are all legal, albeit regulated to some degree. What makes a combustion engine so uniquely bad that justifies a ban?
>>What makes a combustion engine so uniquely bad that justifies a ban?
They’re noisy and they pollute the immediate surroundings, even ignoring CO2 and its climate implications.
Ever notice how buildings in cities are blackened from soot? It’s not from burger joints.
All that said, I do agree that a mandate is heavy-handed and will likely not be necessary by the time they go into effect.
EV/Battery tech is progressing at a pace similar (though not as fast, I’ll admit) to PCs in the late 90s. Soon it’ll be like comparing a 486 to an iPhone, it won’t even be a contest as to which is better. IMO it already isn’t.
The soot on buildings is mostly from the burning of coal and pulverized coal town gas decades ago, it’s why there’s been an ongoing trend over the past 40-50 years to gradually clean the facades of old masonry buildings, and why, once clean, they tend to stay that way. An example is Philadelphia City Hall, by the time it was finished in 1901, the lower floors were already stained black from soot, the first time anybody ever saw the whole building in it’s actual white color was when it was cleaned in the early 2000s, but that was 20 years ago now, and it’s still white. You still get some soot staining from diesel trucks along heavy trucking routes, but the visible impact from car exhaust is negligible these days. Wouldn’t be any economic justification for facade cleaning otherwise, buildings never got cleaned 100 years ago, because everyone realizes they’d just stain again almost immediately, but it’s practical to do now, since you know the results will last a good long time
Keep in mind that that I have made significant changes to my life style in the last years (no more flying for the holidays, all organic food, 2nd hand electronics, waste free groceries, going 70% vegetarian…) and I still fall short of my “carbon budget” by 4.5 tonnes
I think the only folks who have any hope of meeting such goals are the permanently homeless.
I’ve never heard anyone accuse the horse and buggy lobby of benefitting from billions of subsidy dollars that artificially inflated the relative cost of gasoline vehicles a century ago. That’s a big difference. Maybe eliminating oil and gas subsidies would be better than adding EV subsidies to be able to compete, but we’ve seen how viable that seems to be so far
It’s not that the internal combustion engine is uniquely bad, it’s that its incredibly good and hydrocarbons are so damn energy dense and easy to deal with. Even with only a 30%ish efficiency of the ICE a tank of gas takes us for hundreds of miles, weighs very little and can be refilled in just a few minutes for relative cheap.
Ev’s on the other hand ARE incredible, I own one and it’s the best driving experience day to day I have ever experienced. The downside is energy storage is very difficult and although the car is very efficient, it is so limited in the amount of energy it can hold at the moment. Charging and other things also are difficult in some ways, although so much better in some ways. At home charging is game changing!
This is incredibly difficult to overcome, when the ICE technology is just so damn good. I think at some point EV will be the preferred drivetrain just because it is soo good and getting better, but it’s just not quite there yet and therefore governments seem to think mandates are the only way to move forward.
This is pretty much my point.
I can’t think of a significant example of a superior technology being banned in favor of an inferior alternative because of political or environmental reasons. Maybe Freon?
Maybe by 2035 or 2040 EVs and batteries will be superior to ICEs in all use cases, but that seems speculative at best, wishful at worst, and again, if it does come to pass then a ban won’t be needed.
The issue is that unlike the typewriter, ICE vehicles have unpaid negative externalities related to emissions, climate change, air quality, health, etc. I’d rather see these societal costs accurately charged for all vehicles, including road damage, carnage, and true infrastructure costs, for both ICE and EVs and let that drive the market (and car ownership in general) than some arbitrary restriction. Hmm, free markets and “pay your own way”…that sounds almost libertarian.
Don’t disagree with this, but the simple truth is that many things with negative externalities (cigarettes, alcohol, semiauto rifles, opioids) are legal. That even goes for other things that cause CO2 pollution (plane tickets, cruise ships, diesel generators, large houses with large HVAC needs). So why is it only my car they are coming for?
I agree with others that greenwashing the political posturing play a role. Tobacco and alcohol are somewhat close as they often have taxes that go to treatment and harm mitigation. Something like rifle insurance against illegal use would be interesting. But you are right that nearly nothing in the US and in much of world is accurately priced/tax to account for the full impact to society. It is the rich offloading costs on the poor/underrepresented. I think I lost my libertarian badge…
For sure – which is why the market would work when energy costs increase. Went shopping yesterday and three empty cars were in the parking lot with their engines running and air conditioners on. I didn’t even care to count the number of running cars with a person inside, not to mention that the supermarket is kept at 62F: Clearly energy is too cheap, even with $5 gas…
Some anecdotes:
from October until April, kids near me are being driven a couple of blocks to their bus stop so they can sit in the idling car instead of standing outside for a short while.
Recently I took the cape may- Lewes ferry. The SUV next to us on the ferry idled for the entire ~90 minute journey on a day in the mid 70s despite plentiful climate controlled passenger space.
This sort of wastage makes my blood boil, but still, individual usage can’t compare to industrial/commercial energy usage
“Clearly energy is too cheap, even with $5 gas…”
Depends on the person. I severely curtailed my driving when the pandemic hit and haven’t returned since. I estimate I drive maybe 4k miles/year now, maybe less. I do as many local trips as possible by bike which I guesstimate as a bit under 2k/year but climbing. This includes Home Depot runs. No need to drive there just for a box of decking screws and a gallon of paint. As a bonus I’ve lost quite a bit of weight. I also feel much younger on the bike and have gained a lot of leg power.
When I do drive my fuel efficient 4 cylinder microvan I plan out my trip to group as many cargo heavy errands together as possible. I rigorously follow the posted speed limit and I keep my MPG oriented tires inflated slightly over doorjam psi. I even shut off my engine at lights. Whereas pre pandemic I used to fill up every 7-10 days now it’s 4-6 weeks, maybe 7 if the weather is good. My ultimate goal is to empty my tank just before the gas goes stale. I sure as Hell don’t idle my empty car in parking lots.
(I may be an outlier though.)
Because spineless politicians don’t have the balls to come after the others. And don’t worry. In the US they don’t have the cohones to come after your car, either.
The problem with this argument is that for every “unpaid negative externality” there are probably 5x as many external benefits.
If you monetize the external effects, be prepared to see the costs reflected in all the things about your daily life that are indirectly made possible by the use of combustion around you.
“Hmm, free markets and “pay your own way”…that sounds almost libertarian.”
Yeah, yeah. Make something sound libertarian so you can sell a concept to somebody by catching them in a perceived fallacy or hypocracy. Classic. Free markets don’t exist. Even if they’re a good theory, your fake market for the costs you decided to monetize wouldn’t be one of them. Driving your desired social change by making the implementation look like a market isn’t a strategy that has ever been successful at winning hearts and minds. The people you think are dumb aren’t as dumb as you think they are.
The problem is that the ICE engine’s negatives are all externalized, unlike smoking or Big Macs. The market only works when the buyer pays the price; when it comes to cars the bill is paid by future generations and the disappearance of the animal world. Now don’t get me wrong, I love my cars, but I don’t love having to use them to get to work. I also sincerely doubt that EVs will be able to fully replace ICE engines or if that’s even desirable.
Asbestos?
I can’t think of a significant example of a superior technology being banned in favor of an inferior alternative because of political or environmental reasons. Maybe Freon?
Try nuclear.
@V10omous Not saying there isn’t merit to what you laid out, but climate change impacts everyone yet is hard to pinpoint how any one individual’s actions contribute. Using policies to switch to zero-emission vehicles is the only way to speed the technology change faster than the “free market” approach you laid out for horses. Is it perfect? Hell no. Our grid is too dirty in the US currently, but at least we can update that in parallel to switching to EVs. Is it right to put all our eggs in the EV basket instead of looking at hydrogen fuel cells or other tech? Probably not. But we’re out of time for no intervention. Our kids and grandkids are already hosed, the climate is changing, and it’s all about reducing the damage at this point, not preventing it at all.
Is targeting ICE vehicles going to solve it? Definitely not. It’s one piece of the puzzle and one of the most easy to put back on consumers instead of large companies. There are many larger single-point contributors like cruise ships that we should also be going after. So is it fair? Not really. Is it the right thing to do? I guess that’s up to you, but I think it is.
Societies ban many things and give tax breaks to try to encourage behaviors all the time. Mortgage interest deduction – a huge tax break for people wealthy enough to buy a house. Thank you renters for subsidizing us home buyers. There is a ban on many ozone destroying chemicals because we found out that if we kept using R-12 and the like we could make a big enough hole in the ozone layer to damage all life on the planet. I’d be happy if we taxed fossil fuel use to fund the cost of the externalities created by dumping CO2 into the atmosphere but we don’t have the political will to do that because the effects happen so slowly. Why don’t we have lead in gasoline and paint anymore? It was slowly poisoning all of us. Did I see the ozone hole impacts where I lived – no. Did I loose a few IQ points due to lead in paint and gasoline – probably but it is hard to tell. We can’t continue to use the atmosphere as a dump for pollutants. EVs are not perfect (mining and generating electricity are not perfectly clean and never will be) but they are much better for the planet than fossil fuel powered vehicles and getting cleaner each time another coal plant is replaced by solar or wind turbines.
“Mortgage interest deduction – a huge tax break for people wealthy enough to buy a house. Thank you renters for subsidizing us home buyers.”
That’s not really how that works at all. The people who aren’t “wealthy enough to buy a house” aren’t paying taxes either. The mortgage interest deduction is new homebuyers being subsidized by older homeowners.
The mortgage interest deduction is more accurately a tax break for those wealthy enough to pay for a home that costs them more in interest per year than the $25K standard deduction. Plenty of homeowners haven’t benefitted from it since 2017.
Agreed. According to the Tax Foundation the mortgage interest tax deduction is really for folks making a lot of money: “In 2018, less than 4 percent of taxpayers earning less than $50,000 will claim the deduction, and these taxpayers will receive less than 1 percent of the tax expenditure’s overall benefits. Taxpayers making over $200,000 will make up 34 percent of claims and take 60 percent of the benefits.”
The point was that you’re wrong about who is funding it.
My optimistic side says it’s a way to encourage EV development.
My cynical side just thinks it’s a low effort way to appear green without actually doing anything, much like a carbon tax.
Honestly, it’s probably the latter, I think EVs would start to get increasingly dominant anyway as companies try to get a piece of Tesla’s “EVs are cool” cachet, and a lot of the mandates showed up after many of the high-profile EVs started to be announced.
Not cynical – accurate. Our lazy politicians attempt satisfy their base by shouting about new laws, only to quietly roll them back a few years later. EV’s are great. (I own a PHEV.) But, we aren’t nearly far enough along to mandate them, both from a manufacturing POV and an infrastructure POV.
Any politician that was 100% behind this, and other impossible to achieve mandates should be voted out. Maybe then we can start having honest conversations.
Infrastructure. Infrastructure. Infrastructure.
The weakest point in EV mandates is infrastructure. Until we have EVs that charge as fast as a trip to the gas station, and/or a charging hookup in every home parking stall, mandates just don’t make sense. Yes, it’s a good goal to look towards, but the reality is we don’t have the infrastructure to support it.
Also the power grid. Especially in the desert southwest, where hydro power is drying up, where is all the extra juice going to come from?
“Especially in the desert southwest, where hydro power is drying up, where is all the extra juice going to come from?”
I can’t think of a better place for solar panels than the desert southwest, yet their elected rulers are actively trying to prevent them from happening. I guess when they all go back to lamp oil they can truly live like the good book says.
What if you could charge your car at work?